Large Stat Says Alpinista CAN’T Win

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The 2022 Yorkshire Oaks solely has seven runners heading to put up – with the prolific winner, Alpinista, topping the betting for the race. Nevertheless, a case will be made for many in Thursday’s Group One contest, whereas we’ve a single monster pattern that tells us the new favorite can’t win!

 Andy Newton takes a have a look at the runners and the key developments, plus he provides you his York racing tip for the 2022 Yorkshire Oaks.

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DID YOU KNOW? 18 of the final 21 Yorkshire Oaks winners have been drawn 4 or larger

What Time/Date Is The 2022 Yorkshire Oaks?

The Yorkshire Oaks is a Group One race run over 1m4f at York racecourse.

🕙Time: 3:35pm (UK time)
📅Date: Thursday 18th August 2022
🏇Racecourse: York
💰 Winner: £302,690 (Group 1)

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Alpinista Will Want To Overcome Key Age Development

One of many important Darley Yorkshire Oaks developments is that 20 of the final 21 winners have been aged 3 or 4 years-old. In that interval solely the mightly Allow kicked this stat into contact when profitable the 2019 working as a 5 year-old.


With this in thoughts, the possible favorite – Alpinista, who heads into the race as the one 5 year-old within the contest, may have this main age stat to beat.

ALL of the opposite six runners within the race are aged 3 or 4, whereas if we glance again even additional by way of the previous winners – and because it was opened to older (3+) filles and mares in 1991 – we’ve solely had three winners aged 5! That’s 28 winners from the final 31 renewals which were aged both 3 or 4 – a monster 90% strike-rate!

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Yorkshire Oaks Developments and Stats

Discover the most effective profitable profiles with our key Yorkshire Oaks developments and stats

  • 20/21 – Aged 3 (14) or 4 (6) years-old
  • 20/21 – Had received over at the least 1m2f earlier than
  • 19/21 – Had at the least 3 earlier wins to their identify
  • 18/21 – Positioned within the high 3 final outing
  • 18/21 – Drawn in stall 4 or larger
  • 18/21 – Positioned favourites
  • 17/21 – Priced 7/2 or shorter within the betting
  • 15/21 – Had 3 or extra runs already that season
  • 15/21 – Earlier Group 1 winners
  • 14/21 – Had received over 1m4f earlier than
  • 11/21 – Successful favourites
  • 9/21 – Had run in that season’s Epsom Oaks (3 winners)
  • 6/21 – Skilled by Aidan O’Brien (final 2)
  • 3/21 – Ridden by Ryan Moore (3 of the final 8)
  • Snowfall (8/15 fav) received the race in 2021


York Racing Ideas | 2022 Yorkshire Oaks Greatest Bets

Regardless of the massive age pattern towards her, Alpinista @ 2/1 with BetUK will nonetheless be common right here, having received her final 6 races (4 G1) and is the top-rated within the discipline at 118. Luke Morris rides as ordinary, however she’s unlikely to be a lot worth and let’s not neglect she was overwhelmed on this race again in 2020 (2nd).

Nevertheless, as talked about, this 5 year-old must defy the important thing age pattern that’s seen 20 of the final 21 winners aged ether 3 or 4 years-old – that tells us that 95% of the final 21 winners have been aged 4 or youthful!

The Prescott gray filly will even face a powerful problem from Eire with three massive participant coming acorss the Irish Sea.

Who Are We Taking Alpinista On With?

Coach Aidan O’Brien has received the Yorkshire Oaks six instances and sends his Epsom Oaks winner – Tuesday. However she might want to bounce again from a poor run within the Irish Derby since, albeit towards the boys that day. She’s had 2 months to revcover and again towards her personal intercourse needs to be thought of.

Nevertheless, with the Epsom Oaks runner-up Emily Upjohn since being well-beaten within the King George at Ascot, the jury remains to be very a lot out as to the power of this yr’s Epsom Oaks.

Lilac Highway and the French raider Raclette are helpful performers, however you simply really feel they’ve each must discover a bit extra, in order that leaves us with Magical Lagoon and LA PETITE COCO (e/w) @ 9/2 with BetUK.

The primary-named landed the Ribblesdale Stakes at Royal Ascot in June from the entrance and backed that up by taking the Irish Oaks in comparable vogue on the Curragh final month. She’s not flashy, however a gutsy performer from the entrance and it may simply be extra of the identical right here below jockey Shane Foley.


However the higher worth seems to be LE PETITE COCO, (e/w) @ 9/2 with BetUK, who was the G1 winner of the Fairly Polly Stakes on the Curragh final outing over 1m2f. She’s up in journey once more right here to 1m4f, however has received properly over 1m3f and this distance up to now, plus beat the 2020 winner of this race – Love – within the Moyglare Blandford Stakes.

She’s additionally been flippantly campaigned this season, with only one run, however having received 5 of her 8 begins is aware of the right way to get the job finished. Common rider, Billy Lee, who has ridden her in all her begins, additionally comes over for the trip. You’re feeling this race has been the goal all season and being rated simply 3lbs off the possible favorite – Alpinista – actually seems the worth within the race.

Observe: Odds are topic to vary

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Yorkshire Oaks 2022 Newest Betting

All odds right as of 18:11BST on Tues 17 Aug and topic to vary

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Yorkshire Oaks Latest Winners

  • 2021 – SNOWFALL (8/15 fav)
  • 2020 – LOVE (4/9 fav)
  • 2019 – ENABLE (1/4 fav)
  • 2018 – SEA OF CLASS (7/4 fav)
  • 2017 – ENABLE (1/4 fav)
  • 2016 – SEVENTH HEAVEN (10/3)

RELATED: York Races Right this moment – See All Races at York Right this moment

York Race Occasions and Schedule | Thurs 18th Aug

  • 1:50 – Sky Guess Lowther Stakes (Group 2) (Fillies) (IRE Incentive Race) Cl1 (2yo) 6f ITV
  • 2:25 – Goffs UK Harry Beeby Premier Yearling Stakes (GBB Race) Cl2 (2yo) 6f ITV
  • 3:00 – Clipper Logistics Handicap (Heritage Handicap) Cl2 (3yo+) 1m ITV
  • 3:35 – Darley Yorkshire Oaks (Group 1) (British Champions Collection) (Fillies & Mares) Cl1 (3yo+) 1m4f ITV
  • 4:10 – British EBF & Sir Henry Cecil Galtres Stakes (Listed Race) (Fillies & Mares) Cl1 (3yo+) 1m4f ITV
  • 4:45 – OR8Wellness EBF Stallions Nursery Handicap Cl2 (2yo) 7f RTV
  • 5:20 – British Stallion Studs EBF Fillies’ Handicap Cl2 (3yo+) 7f RTV

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